Senators vs Blues Prediction, Picks & NHL Odds

On October 30, 2024By Littum

The Senators will be happy to return home for a matchup with a Blues team that is missing one of its best forwards. Our NHL picks expect Ottawa to get back in the win column as a result.

October 29, 2024 • 11:23 AM ET

• 4 min reading

A return to the Canadian Tire Center is just what the doctor ordered for the Ottawa Senators, who hosted the St. Louis Blues on Tuesday, October 29.

Ottawa is coming off back-to-back road losses, but our Blues vs. Senators predictions and top NHL picks call for a strong showing and a return to the win column tonight.

Senators vs Blues prediction

My senators choose
Senators Moneyline (-148 at Pinnacle)

My senator analysis
While it’s way too early to read too much into the home-road split, it’s pretty clear the numbers are skewed for the Ottawa Senators — and returning to the Canadian Tire Center will be welcomed after a three-game road trip that ended with consecutive losses to Golden Knights and Avalanche.

Ottawa is 3-1 on home ice with a 50.1 Corsi For percentage and 50.3 expected field goal percentage at 5-on-5 compared to 46.5 and 44.2 cellar-dwelling marks respectively on the highway.

Additionally, it’s notable that all four opponents the Sens have faced at home are over 50% in both overall CF% and xGF%, so they’ve had a tough home court to start the year.

St. Louis Blues also head to the Canadian capital without No. 1 center Robert Thomas (ankle). That’s a big blow, considering he paced the Blues in points per game. 60 minutes (2.89) and plays in all situations to lead St. Louis forward in the ice age per match (20:12).

Ottawa is also missing a few key regulars, but I expect the Sens to continue their strong play at home and No. 1 goaltender Linus Ullmark to fix his game.

Ullmark opened the season with a strong 31-save win over the Panthers, but he has a .830 SV% and 4.71 GAA across his past two starts and has also missed time while nursing a muscle strain.

With St. Louis, generating just 2.46 expected goals per game. 60 minutes at 5-on-5 and ranks 25th with a power-play percentage of 15.0, this is the perfect spot for Ullmark to rebound. He posted an elite .924 SV% and 2.28 GAA with a .58 saves per 60 average over the last three seasons with the Bruins.

Senators vs Blues Over/Under Analysis

There has been no notable action on this moneyline at Pinnacle. A small move to St. Louis side early this morning was countered with buybacks at Ottawa, and I expect the Sens to remain a significant home favorite.

This total has dropped from an opening of 6.5 to 6 at Pinnacle. It is a little surprising with Ottawa, who have played Over in four of the last six games, but as mentioned, St. Louis his top scorer and has not been dangerous at 5-on-5 or with the man advantage.

Learn how to bet on the same game with these helpful tips and strategies.

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Senators vs Blues odds

Senators vs Blues live odds

Senators vs Blues opening odds

Puck line: Ottawa -1.5 (+165) | St. Louis +1.5 (-189)
Moneyline: Ottawa -149 | St. Louis +132
Over/Under: Over 6.5 | Below 6.5

Senators vs Blues trend

The Senators are 3-1 at home this season. Find more NHL betting trends for Senators vs. Blues.

How to watch Senators vs Blues

Location:	Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON
Date:	Tuesday 29-10-2024
Puck drop:	19:00 ET
TV:	TSN5, RDSI

Senators vs Blues latest injuries

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