Trump vs Harris: US election polls suggest nail-biting finish with these key states too close to call

On By Littum

With only a week until Election Day, polls show a close race between Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump. Here’s a look at the latest national and state polls, each adding a layer to the unpredictable race:

Student activists urge others to take advantage of early voting and cast their ballots in the 2024 election at the University of Wisconsin in Madison, Wis. (AFP)
Student activists urge others to take advantage of early voting and cast their ballots in the 2024 election at the University of Wisconsin in Madison, Wis. (AFP)

The latest polls show close races between the two presidential candidates in Wisconsin, Minnesota, Michigan and North Carolina.

The New York Times poll of the national average in opinion polls gives Kamala Harris a razor-thin edge, 49% to 48% for Donald Trump.

With 19 electoral votes and no specific tilt, Pennsylvania is expected to be the deciding factor this election season.

Recent polling averages show Trump ahead by 2% in Pennsylvania, while Harris leads nationally by 1.4 points. Nevertheless, Harris is doing better in Pennsylvania than Biden was earlier this year.

Nationally, the Morning Consult poll shows Harris leads by 3% nationally, 50% to 47%, in a poll of 8,807 likely voters. The results indicate that voters’ positivity towards Harris has grown, but 49% have heard negative news about Trump. The poll has a margin of error of 1%.

Reuters/Ipsos shows Harris with a razor-thin lead of 44% to 43% in favor of Trump among 975 registered voters. Among most likely voters, Harris leads 47% to 46%. She has led every Reuters/Ipsos poll of registered voters since July.

The SurveyUSA/WRAL poll of North Carolina voters shows Harris and Trump as independents at 47% in the state among 853 likely voters. This indicates a statistical stalemate in a key battleground state with 16 electoral votes.

The USA TODAY/Suffolk poll highlights in Wisconsin that Trump leads by just 1%, 48% to 47%. A gender breakdown here shows Harris winning women by 14%, while Trump leads men by 18%.

MinnPost-Embold poll shows Harris edging out a 48% to 45% lead with a shrinking pool of undecided voters in the 10-vote state of Minnesota

The WDIV/Detroit News poll shows Harris with a slim lead of 47% to 44%, with 41% of Michigan voters prioritizing jobs and the economy.

The TIPP Tracking Poll gives Harris a 48% advantage to Trump’s 47% in a survey of 1,291 voters conducted over three days. The poll indicates a national economic discontent that could affect Harris.

While each poll tells a different piece of the story, these close margins point to a likely nail-biter, with turnout and late-breaking potentially swing key states undecided.